The model's chance for every ATP and WTA match (the winner, each set, the exact score, the game spread and the total games) priced against Polymarket and Kalshi, with every pick graded in public.
Pick a player to see their rating and recent matches, or tap a name on a match card.
Every pick is recorded live by the auto-updater before the match (every side Polymarket or Kalshi prices, with the model's chance, tagged Top 25 Surest / Value where it qualified) and graded from the final score. A retirement settles the match winner (whoever advanced, as both exchanges settle it) and voids every other market. Filter by anything below.
When the model said X%, how often did it hit? Bars should match the dotted diagonal.
Hit rate of the filtered picks, week by week (Monday to Sunday; bar label = picks graded).
Running units for the filtered picks that had a recorded market price, staking 1 unit on each at the price you'd have paid. A win at 60¢ returns +0.67u; a loss is −1u. Picks with no market price aren't counted here.
Record by recommendation list and by market for the current filters (the list filter itself is ignored here so every list shows).