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Pick of the Day
Today's Safe Pick & Value Shot.
One sure pick and one bigger payout, picked once a day from all four sports and graded in public.
Right now · all four sports
Today's best value.
Where the model's chance beats the market price (the cheaper of Polymarket and Kalshi) by the most — NFL, NBA, NHL and MLB in one feed. Tap a pick for the game log, the live price and the full breakdown.
Live now
Today's picks, live.
Today's Value spots and Top 25 picks in games that have started, with the stat so far. Updates every minute while games are on.
On the move
Hot streaks and moving markets.
Hot streaks
Cleared this exact line in each of their last games, and it still pays.
Prices moving toward our pick
The price has risen since we recorded the pick: the market came around to it.
Moving fast
The price jumped 10¢ or more in the last hour, often a sign of injury or lineup news. Check before you bet.
Honest numbers
When we say 70%, it hits about 70%.
See every range
Every pick recorded before its game and graded from the box score. Pushes and players who didn't play are left out.
Why trust it
- Graded in public. Every pick is recorded before the game and graded from the official box score, wins and losses. How the model works →
- Real data. Each player's game log, adjusted for the matchup and checked against live Polymarket and Kalshi prices.
- Free. No subscription, no account.