BUF · C · NHL · next: LA, Sat Oct 31, 4:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assists | under 0.5 | 64% | 59¢ | 60% | Fair |
| Goals | under 0.5 | 68% | 65¢ | 66% | Fair |
| Points | under 1.5 | 76% | 77¢ | 77% | Fair |
| Points | over 0.5 | 55% | 62¢ | 61% | Skip |
| Shots on Goal | under 4.5 | 71% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 31, 11:05 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (20% model, 80% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Tage Thompson in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Goals | Assists | Shots on Goal | Hits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | ANA | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Oct 28 | SJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| Oct 24 | WSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 21 | PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Oct 17 | MTL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| Oct 15 | TOR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| Oct 13 | MTL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 12 | FLA | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Oct 10 | UTA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| Oct 8 | DAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.