NSH · C · NHL · next: TB, Sat Oct 31, 2:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | over 0.5 | 58% | 56¢ | 56% | Fair |
| Goals | under 0.5 | 76% | 75¢ | 75% | Fair |
| Points | under 1.5 | 80% | 82¢ | 82% | Fair |
| Shots on Goal | over 0.5 | 80% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 31, 11:05 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (20% model, 80% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Ryan O'Reilly in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Goals | Assists | Shots on Goal | Hits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | WSH | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 28 | NYI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 26 | COL | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Oct 24 | PIT | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Oct 22 | BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 18 | STL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Oct 16 | SJ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Oct 14 | VGK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Oct 10 | OTT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 8 | MTL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.