NSH · D · NHL · next: VGK, Fri Nov 13, 10:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assists | under 0.5 | 55% | 50¢ | 51% | Fair |
| Goals | under 0.5 | 87% | 85¢ | 85% | Fair |
| Points | under 2.5 | 93% | 96¢ | 96% | Fair |
| Points | over 0.5 | 54% | 59¢ | 58% | Skip |
| Shots on Goal | over 0.5 | 92% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Nov 13, 11:08 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
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| Game | Opp | Points | Goals | Assists | Shots on Goal | Hits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | ANA | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Nov 11 | LA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Nov 7 | STL | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Nov 6 | COL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Nov 4 | CAR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Oct 31 | TB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Oct 30 | WSH | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| Oct 28 | NYI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Oct 26 | COL | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Oct 24 | PIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.