STL · C · NHL · next: NJ, Thu Nov 5, 7:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | under 0.5 | 81% | 76¢ | 77% | Fair |
| Assists | under 0.5 | 74% | 74¢ | 74% | Fair |
| Points | under 0.5 | 57% | 58¢ | 58% | Fair |
| Shots on Goal | over 0.5 | 85% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Nov 5, 11:01 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
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| Game | Opp | Points | Goals | Assists | Shots on Goal | Hits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | NYR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Oct 31 | DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 30 | BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Oct 28 | MTL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| Oct 24 | CAR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Oct 23 | VGK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Oct 21 | WPG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 18 | NSH | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Oct 16 | MIN | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Oct 13 | OTT | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.