VGK · RW · NHL · next: NJ, Fri Oct 30, 6:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assists | under 0.5 | 67% | 55¢ | 57% | Fair |
| Points | under 1.5 | 75% | 77¢ | 77% | Fair |
| Goals | under 0.5 | 67% | 71¢ | 70% | Skip |
| Points | over 0.5 | 59% | 63¢ | 62% | Skip |
| Shots on Goal | over 0.5 | 84% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
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| Game | Opp | Points | Goals | Assists | Shots on Goal | Hits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | OTT | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Oct 24 | CBJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Oct 23 | STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Oct 21 | TB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Oct 18 | PIT | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 16 | CGY | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Oct 14 | NSH | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 13 | MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Oct 11 | LA | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 9 | TOR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.