CGY · LW · NHL · next: SEA, Wed Nov 4, 10:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | under 0.5 | 54% | 49¢ | 50% | Fair |
| Assists | under 0.5 | 70% | 66¢ | 67% | Fair |
| Goals | under 0.5 | 76% | 77¢ | 77% | Fair |
| Shots on Goal | over 0.5 | 84% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Nov 4, 11:06 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Joel Farabee in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Goals | Assists | Shots on Goal | Hits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | SJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Nov 1 | COL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Oct 31 | SEA | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 29 | EDM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Oct 27 | TOR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Oct 25 | DET | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Oct 23 | MIN | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 19 | CAR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Oct 16 | VGK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Oct 14 | ANA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.