SJ · LW · NHL · next: CGY, Mon Nov 2, 9:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | under 0.5 | 82% | 76¢ | 77% | Fair |
| Points | under 0.5 | 57% | 55¢ | 55% | Fair |
| Assists | under 0.5 | 66% | 69¢ | 69% | Fair |
| Shots on Goal | over 0.5 | 74% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Nov 2, 11:05 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Ivar Stenberg in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Goals | Assists | Shots on Goal | Hits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | OTT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 30 | VAN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 28 | BUF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 24 | BOS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Oct 22 | OTT | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 20 | MTL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Oct 19 | TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 17 | DET | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Oct 16 | NSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 14 | BOS | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.