BOS · RW · NHL · next: VGK, Mon Nov 2, 7:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | under 0.5 | 72% | 65¢ | 66% | Fair |
| Points | under 1.5 | 67% | 66¢ | 66% | Fair |
| Assists | under 0.5 | 51% | 50¢ | 50% | Fair |
| Points | over 0.5 | 64% | 71¢ | 70% | Skip |
| Shots on Goal | under 3.5 | 60% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Nov 2, 11:05 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open David Pastrnak in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Goals | Assists | Shots on Goal | Hits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | CHI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Oct 30 | STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Oct 28 | CAR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 24 | SJ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Oct 22 | NSH | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Oct 21 | DAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 18 | LA | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Oct 17 | ANA | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Oct 14 | SJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Oct 10 | PHI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.