ANA · LW · NHL · next: EDM, Thu Nov 5, 8:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | under 0.5 | 68% | 64¢ | 65% | Fair |
| Assists | under 0.5 | 72% | 69¢ | 69% | Fair |
| Points | under 1.5 | 76% | 78¢ | 78% | Fair |
| Points | over 0.5 | 53% | 61¢ | 60% | Skip |
| Shots on Goal | under 3.5 | 51% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Nov 5, 11:01 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Cutter Gauthier in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Goals | Assists | Shots on Goal | Hits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | VAN | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| Nov 2 | OTT | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| Oct 30 | BUF | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 |
| Oct 28 | VAN | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Oct 24 | PHI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Oct 22 | NJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Oct 20 | NYI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Oct 19 | NYR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| Oct 17 | BOS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Oct 11 | CGY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.