NYR · LW · NHL · next: EDM, Sun Nov 1, 6:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | under 0.5 | 72% | 67¢ | 68% | Fair |
| Assists | under 0.5 | 67% | 65¢ | 65% | Fair |
| Points | over 0.5 | 51% | 59¢ | 58% | Skip |
| Points | under 1.5 | 76% | 88¢ | 86% | Skip |
| Shots on Goal | over 0.5 | 84% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Nov 1, 11:07 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Alexis Lafreniere in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Goals | Assists | Shots on Goal | Hits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | LA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Oct 24 | OTT | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| Oct 22 | TOR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 19 | ANA | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Oct 17 | CBJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 15 | NJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 13 | TB | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Oct 11 | VAN | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Oct 9 | WSH | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 6 | NYI | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.