SEA · QB · NFL · next: CHI, Mon Nov 2, 8:15 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds | over 124.5 | 88% | — | — | No price |
| Completions | over 17.5 | 69% | — | — | No price |
| Pass Att | under 35.5 | 58% | — | — | No price |
| Pass Att | over 31.5 | 55% | — | — | No price |
| Completions | under 21.5 | 51% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
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| Game | Opp | Pass Yds | Pass TDs | INTs | Rush Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 7 2026 | KC | 257 | 1 | 1 | 17 |
| Wk 6 2026 | DEN | 278 | 0 | 2 | 19 |
| Wk 5 2026 | SF | 195 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| Wk 4 2026 | LAC | 168 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| Wk 3 2026 | WAS | 379 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| Wk 1 2026 | NE | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wk 22 2025 | NE | 202 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Wk 21 2025 | LA | 346 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| Wk 20 2025 | SF | 124 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Wk 18 2025 | SF | 198 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.