CHI · WR · NFL · next: SEA, Mon Nov 2, 8:15 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | under 3.5 | 70% | 64¢ | 65% | Fair |
| Rec Yds | under 39.5 | 51% | 47¢ | 48% | Fair |
| Rec Yds | over 29.5 | 68% | 67¢ | 67% | Fair |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
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| Game | Opp | Rec Yds | Receptions | Targets | Rec TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 7 2026 | NE | 69 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Wk 6 2026 | ATL | 39 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Wk 5 2026 | GB | 40 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| Wk 4 2026 | NYJ | 94 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| Wk 3 2026 | PHI | 44 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| Wk 2 2026 | MIN | 43 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Wk 1 2026 | CAR | 52 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Wk 20 2025 | LA | 44 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| Wk 19 2025 | GB | 44 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| Wk 13 2025 | PHI | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.