ARI · WR · NFL · next: DAL, Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yds | over 9.5 | 91% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Michael Wilson in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Rec Yds | Receptions | Targets | Rec TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 7 2026 | DEN | 55 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| Wk 6 2026 | LA | 32 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| Wk 5 2026 | DET | 30 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| Wk 4 2026 | NYG | 95 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| Wk 3 2026 | SF | 89 | 11 | 17 | 1 |
| Wk 2 2026 | SEA | 18 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| Wk 1 2026 | LAC | 56 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| Wk 18 2025 | LA | 99 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| Wk 17 2025 | CIN | 89 | 5 | 10 | 1 |
| Wk 16 2025 | ATL | 52 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.