DEN · WR · NFL · next: CAR, Sun Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yds | under 59.5 | 82% | — | — | No price |
| Rec Yds | over 19.5 | 64% | — | — | No price |
| Receptions | under 3.5 | 59% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Nov 4, 11:06 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Jaylen Waddle in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Rec Yds | Receptions | Targets | Rec TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 8 2026 | KC | 39 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| Wk 7 2026 | ARI | 48 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| Wk 6 2026 | SEA | 24 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| Wk 5 2026 | LAC | 19 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Wk 4 2026 | SF | 35 | 5 | 6 | 1 |
| Wk 3 2026 | LA | 10 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| Wk 2 2026 | JAX | 138 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| Wk 1 2026 | KC | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Wk 17 2025 | TB | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Wk 16 2025 | CIN | 72 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.