NYJ · WR · NFL · next: LV, Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | under 5.5 | 59% | 52¢ | 53% | Fair |
| Rec Yds | under 69.5 | 64% | 58¢ | 59% | Fair |
| Receptions | over 4.5 | 54% | 65¢ | 63% | Skip |
| Rec Yds | over 49.5 | 54% | 65¢ | 63% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Garrett Wilson in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Rec Yds | Receptions | Targets | Rec TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 7 2026 | MIA | 26 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Wk 6 2026 | NE | 44 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| Wk 5 2026 | CLE | 104 | 7 | 11 | 1 |
| Wk 4 2026 | CHI | 27 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Wk 3 2026 | DET | 107 | 10 | 13 | 1 |
| Wk 2 2026 | GB | 57 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| Wk 1 2026 | TEN | 79 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| Wk 10 2025 | CLE | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Wk 6 2025 | DEN | 13 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
| Wk 5 2025 | DAL | 71 | 6 | 10 | 1 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.