ATL · WR · NFL · next: TB, Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | under 5.5 | 54% | 43¢ | 45% | Fair |
| Rec Yds | under 69.5 | 52% | 44¢ | 45% | Fair |
| Rec Yds | over 59.5 | 57% | 69¢ | 67% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Drake London in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Rec Yds | Receptions | Targets | Rec TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 7 2026 | SF | 66 | 7 | 10 | 1 |
| Wk 6 2026 | CHI | 62 | 4 | 10 | 0 |
| Wk 5 2026 | BAL | 118 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| Wk 4 2026 | NO | 96 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| Wk 3 2026 | GB | 194 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| Wk 2 2026 | CAR | 51 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Wk 1 2026 | PIT | 29 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Wk 18 2025 | NO | 78 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| Wk 17 2025 | LA | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Wk 16 2025 | ARI | 27 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.