CLE · WR · NFL · next: PIT, Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | under 3.5 | 67% | 57¢ | 59% | Fair |
| Rec Yds | under 49.5 | 58% | 51¢ | 52% | Fair |
| Rec Yds | over 39.5 | 53% | 63¢ | 62% | Skip |
| Receptions | over 2.5 | 56% | 67¢ | 65% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Denzel Boston in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Rec Yds | Receptions | Targets | Rec TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 7 2026 | TEN | 27 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
| Wk 6 2026 | BAL | 15 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Wk 5 2026 | NYJ | 46 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| Wk 4 2026 | PIT | 89 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| Wk 3 2026 | CAR | 41 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Wk 2 2026 | TB | 95 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| Wk 1 2026 | JAX | 59 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.