PHI · TE · NFL · next: WAS, Sun Nov 1, 8:20 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | over 2.5 | 71% | — | — | No price |
| Receptions | under 4.5 | 64% | — | — | No price |
| Rec Yds | over 29.5 | 61% | — | — | No price |
| Rec Yds | under 39.5 | 54% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
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| Game | Opp | Rec Yds | Receptions | Targets | Rec TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 7 2026 | DAL | 48 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| Wk 6 2026 | CAR | 61 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| Wk 5 2026 | JAX | 38 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| Wk 2 2026 | TEN | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Wk 1 2026 | WAS | 77 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Wk 19 2025 | SF | 33 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| Wk 17 2025 | BUF | 8 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| Wk 16 2025 | WAS | 32 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Wk 15 2025 | LV | 70 | 6 | 7 | 2 |
| Wk 14 2025 | LAC | 78 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.