CHI · TE · NFL · next: TB, Sun Nov 8, 8:20 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yds | over 9.5 | 84% | — | — | No price |
| Rec Yds | under 79.5 | 79% | — | — | No price |
| Receptions | under 6.5 | 70% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Nov 4, 11:06 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
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| Game | Opp | Rec Yds | Receptions | Targets | Rec TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 8 2026 | SEA | 65 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| Wk 7 2026 | NE | 69 | 7 | 12 | 1 |
| Wk 6 2026 | ATL | 65 | 6 | 7 | 1 |
| Wk 5 2026 | GB | 19 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Wk 4 2026 | NYJ | 57 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| Wk 3 2026 | PHI | 31 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Wk 2 2026 | MIN | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Wk 1 2026 | CAR | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Wk 20 2025 | LA | 56 | 4 | 10 | 0 |
| Wk 19 2025 | GB | 137 | 8 | 15 | 0 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.