GS · G · NBA · next: LAL, Fri Oct 30, 10:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | over 24.5 | 57% | 54¢ | 54% | Fair |
| Steals | over 0.5 | 70% | 67¢ | 67% | Fair |
| Rebounds | under 3.5 | 59% | 57¢ | 57% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | over 3.5 | 55% | 53¢ | 53% | Fair |
| Assists | under 5.5 | 72% | 73¢ | 73% | Fair |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | over 29.5 | 65% | 67¢ | 67% | Fair |
| Assists | over 3.5 | 62% | 66¢ | 65% | Skip |
| Steals | under 2.5 | 84% | 96¢ | 94% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
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| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | MIN | 44 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 |
| Oct 27 | DEN | 24 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 27 |
| Oct 24 | MEM | 24 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 30 |
| Oct 22 | LAL | 23 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 |
| Apr 18 | PHX | 17 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 36 |
| Apr 16 | LAC | 35 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 36 |
| Apr 13 | LAC | 24 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 29 |
| Apr 11 | SAC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 27 |
| Apr 8 | SAC | 17 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 25 |
| Apr 6 | HOU | 29 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 26 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.