MIL · G · NBA · next: CLE, Sat Oct 31, 8:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assists | over 3.5 | 74% | 66¢ | 68% | Fair |
| Points | over 14.5 | 58% | 52¢ | 53% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | over 1.5 | 65% | 62¢ | 63% | Fair |
| Assists | under 5.5 | 60% | 60¢ | 60% | Fair |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | over 24.5 | 54% | 55¢ | 55% | Fair |
| Rebounds | over 3.5 | 58% | 60¢ | 60% | Fair |
| Rebounds | under 5.5 | 73% | 77¢ | 76% | Skip |
| 3-Pointers | under 2.5 | 57% | 68¢ | 66% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 31, 11:05 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (20% model, 80% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
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| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | HOU | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| Oct 27 | IND | 19 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 32 |
| Oct 24 | PHI | 15 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
| Oct 23 | CHI | 11 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 34 |
| Oct 21 | WSH | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| Apr 8 | DET | 23 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 33 |
| Apr 5 | MEM | 24 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 32 |
| Apr 1 | DAL | 24 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 36 |
| Mar 28 | SA | 12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 25 |
| Mar 26 | POR | 36 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 31 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.