IND · F · NBA · next: MIA, Fri Oct 30, 8:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | over 24.5 | 57% | 47¢ | 49% | Fair |
| Rebounds | under 7.5 | 55% | 51¢ | 52% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | under 1.5 | 53% | 55¢ | 55% | Fair |
| Steals | over 0.5 | 56% | 62¢ | 61% | Skip |
| Assists | over 3.5 | 53% | 60¢ | 59% | Skip |
| 3-Pointers | over 0.5 | 71% | 79¢ | 78% | Skip |
| Rebounds | over 5.5 | 70% | 78¢ | 77% | Skip |
| Points | under 29.5 | 70% | 86¢ | 84% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Pascal Siakam in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | PHI | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 34 |
| Oct 27 | MIL | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 37 |
| Oct 25 | BKN | 21 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 |
| Oct 23 | DAL | 23 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 29 |
| Oct 22 | NO | 30 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 35 |
| Apr 3 | CHA | 30 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 34 |
| Apr 2 | CHI | 25 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 22 |
| Mar 29 | MIA | 30 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 |
| Mar 27 | LAC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 33 |
| Mar 25 | LAL | 20 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 30 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.