CHA · C · NBA · next: WSH, Fri Oct 30, 7:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Pointers | under 2.5 | 61% | 53¢ | 54% | Fair |
| Rebounds | over 7.5 | 53% | 51¢ | 51% | Fair |
| Assists | under 3.5 | 82% | 88¢ | 87% | Skip |
| Points | over 14.5 | 52% | 66¢ | 64% | Skip |
| 3-Pointers | over 1.5 | 59% | 75¢ | 73% | Skip |
| Assists | over 0.5 | 75% | — | — | No price |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | over 19.5 | 70% | — | — | No price |
| Points | under 17.5 | 67% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Naz Reid in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | DET | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 |
| Oct 26 | WSH | 18 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 29 |
| Oct 24 | MIA | 23 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 37 |
| Oct 23 | ATL | 17 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 |
| Oct 21 | BKN | 20 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 33 |
| May 16 | SA | 18 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 32 |
| May 13 | SA | 12 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 31 |
| May 10 | SA | 15 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 31 |
| May 9 | SA | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 32 |
| May 7 | SA | 11 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.