MIL · C · NBA · next: ORL, Fri Nov 13, 7:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | under 9.5 | 59% | 50¢ | 51% | Fair |
| Rebounds | under 5.5 | 58% | 56¢ | 56% | Fair |
| Blocks | over 1.5 | 54% | 54¢ | 54% | Fair |
| Assists | over 1.5 | 54% | 56¢ | 56% | Fair |
| Assists | under 3.5 | 82% | 88¢ | 87% | Skip |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | under 19.5 | 67% | 74¢ | 73% | Skip |
| 3-Pointers | over 0.5 | 69% | 80¢ | 78% | Skip |
| Blocks | under 2.5 | 69% | 82¢ | 80% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Nov 13, 11:08 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Myles Turner in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | NY | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27 |
| Nov 9 | BOS | 3 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 24 |
| Nov 7 | TOR | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
| Nov 5 | BOS | 12 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 36 |
| Nov 3 | MIN | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 31 |
| Nov 1 | CLE | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
| Oct 29 | HOU | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22 |
| Oct 27 | IND | 6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 28 |
| Oct 24 | PHI | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 |
| Oct 23 | CHI | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 30 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.