BKN · F · NBA · next: IND, Sun Nov 1, 5:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | over 19.5 | 67% | 64¢ | 64% | Fair |
| Assists | over 1.5 | 59% | 57¢ | 57% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | under 3.5 | 60% | 58¢ | 58% | Fair |
| Assists | under 3.5 | 81% | 84¢ | 84% | Fair |
| Rebounds | under 7.5 | 53% | 59¢ | 58% | Skip |
| Steals | under 1.5 | 61% | 68¢ | 67% | Skip |
| Steals | over 0.5 | 60% | 69¢ | 68% | Skip |
| Points | under 24.5 | 53% | 67¢ | 65% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Nov 1, 11:07 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
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| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | DET | 13 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26 |
| Oct 27 | BOS | 27 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 40 |
| Oct 25 | IND | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| Oct 24 | CLE | 28 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 33 |
| Oct 21 | CHA | 26 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 34 |
| Mar 10 | DET | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 |
| Mar 7 | DET | 30 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 39 |
| Mar 6 | MIA | 27 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 36 |
| Mar 4 | MIA | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 27 |
| Mar 1 | CLE | 26 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 30 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.