DAL · G · NBA · next: HOU, Fri Oct 30, 8:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | over 9.5 | 56% | 48¢ | 49% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | over 1.5 | 62% | 57¢ | 58% | Fair |
| Rebounds | under 5.5 | 94% | 89¢ | 90% | Fair |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | over 14.5 | 55% | 55¢ | 55% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | under 2.5 | 64% | 75¢ | 73% | Skip |
| Assists | over 0.5 | 81% | — | — | No price |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | under 17.5 | 63% | — | — | No price |
| Points | under 11.5 | 59% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Max Christie in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | OKC | 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22 |
| Oct 26 | MIA | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 26 |
| Oct 25 | SA | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 26 |
| Oct 23 | IND | 16 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 38 |
| Oct 22 | HOU | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29 |
| Apr 13 | CHI | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| Apr 11 | SA | 16 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 31 |
| Apr 9 | PHX | 18 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 33 |
| Apr 8 | LAC | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 29 |
| Apr 5 | LAL | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 25 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.