MIN · G · NBA · next: LAC, Fri Oct 30, 8:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assists | under 7.5 | 68% | 52¢ | 54% | Value |
| Steals | over 0.5 | 76% | 75¢ | 75% | Fair |
| Points | under 24.5 | 78% | 79¢ | 79% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | under 3.5 | 52% | 53¢ | 53% | Fair |
| Steals | under 1.5 | 59% | 62¢ | 62% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | over 2.5 | 65% | 71¢ | 70% | Skip |
| Rebounds | over 3.5 | 57% | 65¢ | 64% | Skip |
| Points | over 14.5 | 70% | 79¢ | 78% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open LaMelo Ball in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | GS | 8 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 28 |
| Oct 26 | CLE | 11 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 31 |
| Oct 25 | TOR | 15 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 |
| Oct 23 | ORL | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 |
| Oct 21 | MIA | 21 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 28 |
| Apr 17 | ORL | 23 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 25 |
| Apr 14 | MIA | 30 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 40 |
| Apr 12 | NY | 19 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 29 |
| Apr 10 | DET | 27 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 33 |
| Apr 8 | BOS | 36 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 37 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.