HOU · F · NBA · next: DAL, Fri Oct 30, 8:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assists | over 3.5 | 68% | 56¢ | 58% | Fair |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | over 34.5 | 53% | 44¢ | 45% | Fair |
| Rebounds | over 5.5 | 56% | 50¢ | 51% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | over 1.5 | 65% | 60¢ | 61% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | under 2.5 | 63% | 67¢ | 66% | Skip |
| Points | under 24.5 | 51% | 66¢ | 64% | Skip |
| Rebounds | under 6.5 | 64% | — | — | No price |
| Points | over 23.5 | 56% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
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| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | MIL | 18 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 31 |
| Oct 27 | ATL | 22 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 30 |
| Oct 25 | ATL | 22 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 37 |
| Oct 24 | SA | 20 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 37 |
| Oct 22 | DAL | 30 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 37 |
| Apr 22 | LAL | 23 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 41 |
| Apr 11 | MIN | 33 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 39 |
| Apr 10 | PHI | 29 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 38 |
| Apr 8 | PHX | 24 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 36 |
| Apr 6 | GS | 31 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 37 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.