BKN · F · NBA · next: CHA, Wed Nov 4, 7:30 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blocks | under 0.5 | 85% | 62¢ | 65% | Value |
| Rebounds | over 5.5 | 75% | 62¢ | 64% | Fair |
| Points | under 19.5 | 57% | 49¢ | 50% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | under 1.5 | 59% | 56¢ | 56% | Fair |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | under 34.5 | 70% | 70¢ | 70% | Fair |
| Rebounds | under 7.5 | 58% | 62¢ | 61% | Skip |
| Points | over 14.5 | 70% | 77¢ | 76% | Skip |
| Steals | over 0.5 | 52% | 60¢ | 59% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Nov 4, 11:06 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Julius Randle in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | NY | 21 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 36 |
| Nov 1 | IND | 20 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 37 |
| Oct 30 | DET | 15 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 25 |
| Oct 27 | BOS | 24 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 44 |
| Oct 25 | IND | 10 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 24 |
| Oct 24 | CLE | 23 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 35 |
| Oct 21 | CHA | 33 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 38 |
| May 16 | SA | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 24 |
| May 13 | SA | 17 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 36 |
| May 10 | SA | 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 38 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.