NY · G · NBA · next: PHI, Fri Oct 30, 7:30 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebounds | over 7.5 | 66% | 52¢ | 54% | Fair |
| Steals | under 1.5 | 60% | 57¢ | 57% | Fair |
| Assists | over 3.5 | 62% | 60¢ | 60% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | under 1.5 | 52% | 53¢ | 53% | Fair |
| Assists | under 5.5 | 75% | 79¢ | 78% | Skip |
| Points | over 9.5 | 54% | 58¢ | 57% | Skip |
| Points | under 14.5 | 75% | 82¢ | 81% | Skip |
| 3-Pointers | over 0.5 | 72% | 81¢ | 80% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
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| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | CHI | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 36 |
| Oct 28 | DET | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 27 |
| Oct 25 | ORL | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 35 |
| Oct 23 | BOS | 10 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 36 |
| Oct 20 | PHI | 14 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| Jun 14 | SA | 13 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 39 |
| Jun 11 | SA | 6 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 33 |
| Jun 9 | SA | 16 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 35 |
| Jun 6 | SA | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 18 |
| Jun 4 | SA | 3 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 27 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.