CHI · G · NBA · next: BOS, Fri Oct 30, 7:30 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assists | over 7.5 | 65% | 49¢ | 51% | Value |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | over 24.5 | 60% | 52¢ | 53% | Fair |
| Points | over 9.5 | 61% | 61¢ | 61% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | over 0.5 | 69% | 72¢ | 72% | Fair |
| Points | under 14.5 | 65% | 79¢ | 77% | Skip |
| Rebounds | under 7.5 | 55% | 80¢ | 76% | Skip |
| Assists | under 11.5 | 77% | — | — | No price |
| Rebounds | over 6.5 | 58% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
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| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | NY | 10 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 31 |
| Oct 26 | BOS | 11 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 24 |
| Oct 25 | WSH | 9 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 30 |
| Oct 23 | MIL | 6 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 25 |
| Oct 21 | TOR | 2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 24 |
| Apr 3 | NY | 6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 26 |
| Mar 31 | SA | 9 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 33 |
| Mar 29 | MEM | 18 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 35 |
| Mar 28 | OKC | 5 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 33 |
| Mar 25 | PHI | 23 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 33 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.