PHI · C · NBA · next: NY, Fri Oct 30, 7:30 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | over 24.5 | 58% | 42¢ | 44% | Value |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | over 34.5 | 68% | 59¢ | 60% | Fair |
| Assists | over 3.5 | 62% | 62¢ | 62% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | under 1.5 | 62% | 65¢ | 65% | Skip |
| Rebounds | under 9.5 | 58% | 61¢ | 60% | Skip |
| 3-Pointers | over 0.5 | 68% | 74¢ | 73% | Skip |
| Blocks | over 0.5 | 59% | 72¢ | 70% | Skip |
| Rebounds | over 8.5 | 51% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
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| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | IND | 21 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 39 |
| Oct 24 | MIL | 28 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 36 |
| Oct 22 | CLE | 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 34 |
| Oct 20 | NY | 13 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 33 |
| May 10 | NY | 24 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 28 |
| May 8 | NY | 18 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 35 |
| May 5 | NY | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25 |
| May 2 | BOS | 34 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 39 |
| May 1 | BOS | 19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 34 |
| Apr 28 | BOS | 33 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 39 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.