CLE · G · NBA · next: MIL, Sat Oct 31, 8:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | over 19.5 | 54% | 46¢ | 48% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | over 2.5 | 52% | 49¢ | 50% | Fair |
| Steals | under 1.5 | 64% | 62¢ | 62% | Fair |
| Rebounds | over 3.5 | 72% | 71¢ | 71% | Fair |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | over 29.5 | 59% | 60¢ | 60% | Fair |
| Rebounds | under 7.5 | 83% | 93¢ | 91% | Skip |
| Assists | over 5.5 | 56% | 73¢ | 70% | Skip |
| Steals | over 0.5 | 68% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 31, 11:05 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (20% model, 80% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
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| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | ATL | 24 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 36 |
| Oct 28 | WSH | 16 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 34 |
| Oct 26 | MIN | 22 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 39 |
| Oct 24 | BKN | 12 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 33 |
| Oct 22 | PHI | 16 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 33 |
| May 26 | NY | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 33 |
| May 24 | NY | 19 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 41 |
| May 22 | NY | 18 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 32 |
| May 20 | NY | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 42 |
| May 18 | DET | 9 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 36 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.