DEN · G · NBA · next: PHX, Fri Oct 30, 10:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pts+Reb+Ast | over 34.5 | 54% | 47¢ | 48% | Fair |
| Assists | under 7.5 | 76% | 71¢ | 72% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | over 2.5 | 54% | 54¢ | 54% | Fair |
| Steals | under 2.5 | 89% | 90¢ | 90% | Fair |
| Assists | over 5.5 | 60% | 64¢ | 63% | Skip |
| Points | under 24.5 | 52% | 65¢ | 63% | Skip |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | under 39.5 | 62% | 80¢ | 77% | Skip |
| Rebounds | under 5.5 | 58% | 80¢ | 77% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
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| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | NO | 23 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 38 |
| Oct 27 | GS | 19 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 36 |
| Oct 25 | NO | 42 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 43 |
| Oct 23 | OKC | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 37 |
| May 1 | MIN | 12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 40 |
| Apr 28 | MIN | 24 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 39 |
| Apr 26 | MIN | 30 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 42 |
| Apr 24 | MIN | 16 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 35 |
| Apr 21 | MIN | 30 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 43 |
| Apr 18 | MIN | 30 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 39 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.