MIN · F · NBA · next: LAC, Fri Oct 30, 8:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Pointers | under 1.5 | 62% | 45¢ | 48% | Value |
| Rebounds | over 5.5 | 59% | 46¢ | 48% | Fair |
| Points | under 19.5 | 73% | 66¢ | 67% | Fair |
| Steals | under 1.5 | 77% | 71¢ | 72% | Fair |
| Points | over 14.5 | 65% | 65¢ | 65% | Fair |
| Assists | under 3.5 | 68% | 76¢ | 75% | Skip |
| 3-Pointers | over 0.5 | 66% | 81¢ | 79% | Skip |
| Rebounds | under 7.5 | 72% | 88¢ | 86% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Jaden McDaniels in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | GS | 19 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 35 |
| Oct 26 | CLE | 14 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 39 |
| Oct 25 | TOR | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 31 |
| Oct 23 | ORL | 15 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 30 |
| Oct 21 | MIA | 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 |
| May 16 | SA | 13 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23 |
| May 13 | SA | 17 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 30 |
| May 10 | SA | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 41 |
| May 9 | SA | 17 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 40 |
| May 7 | SA | 12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 20 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.