TOR · G · NBA · next: LAC, Mon Nov 2, 10:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebounds | over 3.5 | 55% | 50¢ | 51% | Fair |
| Assists | over 5.5 | 63% | 59¢ | 60% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | over 2.5 | 59% | 56¢ | 56% | Fair |
| Points | under 19.5 | 68% | 73¢ | 72% | Skip |
| Points | over 14.5 | 60% | 69¢ | 68% | Skip |
| Steals | under 1.5 | 52% | 62¢ | 60% | Skip |
| 3-Pointers | under 3.5 | 62% | 76¢ | 74% | Skip |
| Steals | over 0.5 | 75% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Nov 2, 11:05 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
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| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | LAL | 12 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 33 |
| Oct 30 | ORL | 17 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 37 |
| Oct 28 | ORL | 16 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 29 |
| Oct 25 | MIN | 19 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 28 |
| Oct 23 | WSH | 12 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 29 |
| Oct 21 | CHI | 23 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 28 |
| Apr 12 | BKN | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| Apr 9 | MIA | 11 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 23 |
| Apr 7 | MIA | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| Mar 23 | PHX | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 26 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.