BOS · G · NBA · next: CHI, Fri Oct 30, 7:30 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | under 14.5 | 65% | 47¢ | 50% | Value |
| Assists | under 5.5 | 68% | 58¢ | 59% | Fair |
| Steals | under 1.5 | 76% | 68¢ | 69% | Fair |
| Rebounds | over 3.5 | 58% | 58¢ | 58% | Fair |
| Blocks | under 1.5 | 76% | 81¢ | 80% | Skip |
| 3-Pointers | under 3.5 | 78% | 85¢ | 84% | Skip |
| Rebounds | under 5.5 | 76% | 85¢ | 84% | Skip |
| Steals | over 0.5 | 59% | 69¢ | 67% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Derrick White in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | BKN | 16 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 33 |
| Oct 26 | CHI | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| Oct 23 | NY | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 33 |
| Oct 20 | DET | 17 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 36 |
| May 2 | PHI | 26 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 45 |
| May 1 | PHI | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 32 |
| Apr 28 | PHI | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 36 |
| Apr 26 | PHI | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| Apr 24 | PHI | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 34 |
| Apr 21 | PHI | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 39 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.