CHA · G · NBA · next: PHI, Sat Oct 31, 6:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Pointers | under 1.5 | 76% | 61¢ | 64% | Fair |
| Rebounds | under 3.5 | 64% | 57¢ | 58% | Fair |
| Rebounds | over 1.5 | 69% | 83¢ | 80% | Skip |
| Assists | over 3.5 | 60% | 84¢ | 79% | Skip |
| 3-Pointers | over 0.5 | 51% | 78¢ | 73% | Skip |
| Points | over 5.5 | 64% | — | — | No price |
| Points | under 9.5 | 60% | — | — | No price |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | over 12.5 | 59% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 31, 11:05 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (20% model, 80% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Dennis Schroder in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | WSH | 8 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 29 |
| Oct 28 | DET | 14 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 34 |
| Oct 26 | WSH | 8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 36 |
| Oct 24 | MIA | 25 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 38 |
| Oct 23 | ATL | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 20 |
| Oct 21 | BKN | 19 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 35 |
| May 24 | NY | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
| May 22 | NY | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 18 |
| May 20 | NY | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 18 |
| May 18 | DET | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 18 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.