NO · G · NBA · next: ATL, Sat Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebounds | over 5.5 | 60% | 52¢ | 54% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | under 1.5 | 68% | 60¢ | 62% | Fair |
| Assists | over 5.5 | 64% | 59¢ | 60% | Fair |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | over 29.5 | 51% | 49¢ | 49% | Fair |
| Points | under 19.5 | 64% | 63¢ | 63% | Fair |
| Points | over 14.5 | 63% | 63¢ | 63% | Fair |
| Assists | under 7.5 | 69% | 79¢ | 77% | Skip |
| 3-Pointers | over 0.5 | 63% | 75¢ | 73% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 31, 11:05 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (20% model, 80% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
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| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | DEN | 10 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 30 |
| Oct 25 | DEN | 22 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 35 |
| Oct 24 | UTAH | 16 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 30 |
| Oct 22 | IND | 23 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 34 |
| Apr 3 | POR | 9 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 28 |
| Mar 29 | HOU | 19 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 28 |
| Mar 26 | DET | 12 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 29 |
| Mar 24 | NY | 7 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 28 |
| Mar 21 | CLE | 12 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 30 |
| Mar 19 | LAC | 17 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 30 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.