GS · G · NBA · next: LAL, Fri Oct 30, 10:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebounds | over 3.5 | 55% | 42¢ | 44% | Fair |
| Assists | over 1.5 | 76% | 64¢ | 66% | Fair |
| Points | over 9.5 | 52% | 51¢ | 51% | Fair |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | over 14.5 | 56% | 57¢ | 57% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | over 0.5 | 71% | 74¢ | 74% | Skip |
| 3-Pointers | under 1.5 | 52% | 62¢ | 60% | Skip |
| Rebounds | under 5.5 | 77% | 91¢ | 89% | Skip |
| Assists | under 3.5 | 70% | 89¢ | 86% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open De'Anthony Melton in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | MIN | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 |
| Oct 27 | DEN | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 19 |
| Oct 25 | PHX | 25 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 27 |
| Oct 24 | MEM | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 |
| Oct 22 | LAL | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21 |
| Apr 18 | PHX | 16 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28 |
| Apr 16 | LAC | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 23 |
| Apr 13 | LAC | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19 |
| Apr 11 | SAC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 28 |
| Apr 10 | LAL | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.