SA · G · NBA · next: MIN, Sat Oct 31, 8:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assists | over 5.5 | 57% | 55¢ | 55% | Fair |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | over 24.5 | 52% | 51¢ | 51% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | under 1.5 | 60% | 60¢ | 60% | Fair |
| Rebounds | over 3.5 | 53% | 53¢ | 53% | Fair |
| Points | over 14.5 | 52% | 53¢ | 53% | Fair |
| Steals | over 0.5 | 73% | 75¢ | 75% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | over 0.5 | 71% | 76¢ | 75% | Skip |
| Steals | under 1.5 | 58% | 64¢ | 63% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 31, 11:05 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (20% model, 80% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open De'Aaron Fox in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | UTAH | 14 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 39 |
| Oct 28 | SAC | 11 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 26 |
| Oct 25 | DAL | 19 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 28 |
| Oct 24 | HOU | 19 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 34 |
| Oct 21 | OKC | 14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 32 |
| Jun 14 | NY | 7 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 37 |
| Jun 11 | NY | 18 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 37 |
| Jun 9 | NY | 12 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 37 |
| Jun 6 | NY | 20 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 34 |
| Jun 4 | NY | 7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 38 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.