LAC · G · NBA · next: MIA, Wed Nov 4, 10:30 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steals | under 1.5 | 78% | 68¢ | 70% | Fair |
| Assists | over 5.5 | 73% | 71¢ | 71% | Fair |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | under 34.5 | 70% | 68¢ | 68% | Fair |
| Assists | under 7.5 | 61% | 59¢ | 59% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | over 2.5 | 50% | 50¢ | 50% | Fair |
| Points | under 24.5 | 72% | 72¢ | 72% | Fair |
| Rebounds | under 3.5 | 72% | 76¢ | 75% | Skip |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | over 29.5 | 56% | 63¢ | 62% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Nov 4, 11:06 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Darius Garland in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | TOR | 16 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 36 |
| Nov 2 | GS | 15 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 33 |
| Oct 31 | MIN | 24 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 31 |
| Oct 29 | LAL | 14 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 26 |
| Oct 25 | OKC | 16 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 36 |
| Oct 24 | LAL | 26 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 37 |
| Oct 22 | SAC | 30 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 32 |
| Apr 16 | GS | 21 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 31 |
| Apr 13 | GS | 15 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 27 |
| Apr 11 | POR | 16 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 41 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.