ATL · G · NBA · next: NO, Sat Oct 31, 7:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | over 14.5 | 67% | 61¢ | 62% | Fair |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | over 19.5 | 68% | 63¢ | 64% | Fair |
| Rebounds | under 5.5 | 94% | 92¢ | 92% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | under 2.5 | 61% | 61¢ | 61% | Fair |
| Rebounds | over 1.5 | 76% | 77¢ | 77% | Fair |
| Assists | under 3.5 | 56% | 59¢ | 58% | Skip |
| Steals | over 0.5 | 57% | 62¢ | 61% | Skip |
| Assists | over 1.5 | 76% | 83¢ | 82% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 31, 11:05 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (20% model, 80% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open CJ McCollum in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | CLE | 5 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 31 |
| Oct 28 | MIA | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 |
| Oct 27 | HOU | 20 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 30 |
| Oct 25 | HOU | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 30 |
| Oct 23 | CHA | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
| Oct 21 | ORL | 19 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 25 |
| Apr 30 | NY | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 |
| Apr 29 | NY | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 32 |
| Apr 25 | NY | 17 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 32 |
| Apr 23 | NY | 23 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 35 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.