MEM · F · NBA · next: BKN, Sat Nov 14, 8:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | over 9.5 | 75% | 73¢ | 73% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | over 1.5 | 55% | 55¢ | 55% | Fair |
| Assists | over 1.5 | 78% | 79¢ | 79% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | under 3.5 | 87% | 88¢ | 88% | Fair |
| Points | under 14.5 | 56% | 59¢ | 59% | Fair |
| Steals | under 1.5 | 68% | 71¢ | 71% | Skip |
| Rebounds | under 7.5 | 54% | 57¢ | 57% | Skip |
| Assists | under 3.5 | 60% | 64¢ | 63% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Nov 14, 11:05 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Cedric Coward in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14 | NO | 14 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 30 |
| Nov 12 | DEN | 15 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 27 |
| Nov 10 | TOR | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 28 |
| Nov 7 | OKC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 23 |
| Nov 5 | IND | 23 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 33 |
| Nov 3 | NO | 10 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Nov 1 | SAC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| Oct 30 | POR | 17 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 |
| Oct 27 | UTAH | 16 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 31 |
| Oct 26 | SAC | 15 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 32 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.