CHA · F · NBA · next: WSH, Fri Oct 30, 7:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pts+Reb+Ast | under 34.5 | 56% | 50¢ | 51% | Fair |
| Assists | under 3.5 | 61% | 57¢ | 58% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | under 3.5 | 51% | 48¢ | 48% | Fair |
| Steals | over 0.5 | 59% | 71¢ | 69% | Skip |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | over 29.5 | 58% | 81¢ | 77% | Skip |
| Assists | over 0.5 | 87% | — | — | No price |
| Rebounds | over 2.5 | 81% | — | — | No price |
| Points | over 20.5 | 64% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
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| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | DET | 31 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 38 |
| Oct 26 | WSH | 39 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 36 |
| Oct 24 | MIA | 34 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 36 |
| Oct 23 | ATL | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 |
| Oct 21 | BKN | 18 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 36 |
| Apr 17 | ORL | 14 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 29 |
| Apr 14 | MIA | 23 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 37 |
| Apr 12 | NY | 19 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 27 |
| Apr 10 | DET | 22 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 31 |
| Apr 8 | BOS | 20 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 34 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.