GS · G · NBA · next: LAC, Sun Nov 1, 8:30 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steals | under 1.5 | 66% | 58¢ | 59% | Fair |
| Rebounds | under 5.5 | 54% | 52¢ | 52% | Fair |
| Assists | under 5.5 | 75% | 74¢ | 74% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | over 1.5 | 69% | 71¢ | 71% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | under 2.5 | 57% | 61¢ | 60% | Skip |
| Points | under 24.5 | 84% | 95¢ | 93% | Skip |
| Steals | over 0.5 | 66% | 79¢ | 77% | Skip |
| Assists | over 3.5 | 51% | 66¢ | 64% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Nov 1, 11:07 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
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| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | LAL | 21 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 33 |
| Oct 29 | MIN | 8 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 32 |
| Oct 27 | DEN | 18 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 33 |
| Oct 24 | MEM | 18 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| Apr 18 | PHX | 23 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 39 |
| Apr 16 | LAC | 17 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 41 |
| Apr 13 | LAC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21 |
| Apr 11 | SAC | 30 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 32 |
| Apr 10 | LAL | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 |
| Apr 8 | SAC | 20 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 30 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.