MIA · C · NBA · next: IND, Fri Oct 30, 8:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pts+Reb+Ast | over 34.5 | 54% | 37¢ | 40% | Value |
| Points | over 19.5 | 56% | 42¢ | 44% | Fair |
| Rebounds | over 9.5 | 61% | 51¢ | 53% | Fair |
| Steals | under 1.5 | 53% | 56¢ | 56% | Skip |
| 3-Pointers | under 1.5 | 58% | 61¢ | 61% | Skip |
| 3-Pointers | over 0.5 | 67% | 76¢ | 75% | Skip |
| Steals | over 0.5 | 83% | — | — | No price |
| Assists | over 2.5 | 75% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Bam Adebayo in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | ATL | 24 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 33 |
| Oct 26 | DAL | 8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 30 |
| Oct 24 | CHA | 20 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 39 |
| Oct 24 | DET | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23 |
| Oct 21 | MIN | 15 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 31 |
| Apr 14 | CHA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 |
| Apr 12 | ATL | 25 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 29 |
| Apr 10 | WSH | 20 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 38 |
| Apr 9 | TOR | 24 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 37 |
| Apr 7 | TOR | 7 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 37 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.