LAL · G · NBA · next: GS, Fri Oct 30, 10:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Pointers | under 2.5 | 60% | 60¢ | 60% | Fair |
| Assists | over 5.5 | 54% | 55¢ | 55% | Fair |
| Rebounds | over 3.5 | 58% | 62¢ | 61% | Skip |
| Points | over 19.5 | 64% | 70¢ | 69% | Skip |
| 3-Pointers | over 1.5 | 62% | 68¢ | 67% | Skip |
| Rebounds | under 5.5 | 74% | 82¢ | 81% | Skip |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | over 29.5 | 62% | 71¢ | 70% | Skip |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | under 33.5 | 52% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
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| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | LAC | 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 31 |
| Oct 28 | POR | 26 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 39 |
| Oct 25 | UTAH | 29 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 36 |
| Oct 24 | LAC | 28 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 38 |
| Oct 22 | GS | 23 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 32 |
| May 12 | OKC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 43 |
| May 10 | OKC | 17 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 39 |
| May 8 | OKC | 31 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 38 |
| May 6 | OKC | 8 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 36 |
| May 2 | HOU | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 31 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.